Comfortable Sunday, RotoBallers! I am excited to be overlaying one other enjoyable DFS slate. The early a part of the MLB season has been good to me, so I am trying to construct off that momentum and hit the bottom operating as we progress into the 2024 marketing campaign. Let’s break down my favourite performs from at the moment’s slate!
We now have some actually fascinating matchups at the moment. The pitching combine is deep, that includes aces, midrange starters, and worthwhile back-of-the-rotation punt arms, which will definitely result in some fascinating lineup choices. I will level out the standout performs, however with an 11-game slate and so many choices on the mound, there can be loads of alternative to get artistic along with your picks at the moment.
This text will present my every day fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 5/19/2024 and the slate locking at 1:05 p.m. EDT. The lineup picks will vary from some elite gamers to mid-priced choices and worth performs. You may as well learn extra DFS recommendation and lineup picks for different sports activities right here. Monitoring harm information and at the moment’s MLB beginning lineups can also be important.
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DraftKings, FanDuel Pitchers – MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Corbin Burnes vs. Seattle Mariners ($9.6K DK, $9.7K FD)
Corbin Burnes is, with out query, my most well-liked SP1 at the moment. Throughout 9 begins, he sports activities an excellent 2.90 xERA and a 3.29 xFIP. It is enterprise as standard for Burnes, who’s going on his fifth consecutive season of domination on the mound. The success contains a formidable .275 xwOBA, .223 xBA, 88 MPH common exit velocity, .354 xSLG, and a 36.1% hard-hit charge. Burnes’ 23.3% strikeout charge is slumping under his 29.9% profession mark, however a 32.4% chase charge and a 28.9% whiff charge recommend that higher strikeout days are forward. Contemplating he has the best ceiling of anybody on this slate, Burnes feels underpriced.
The Seattle Mariners lineup has been one of many extra disappointing offenses in baseball to date this season. Regardless of holding down first place within the American League West, Seattle is scoring simply 3.8 runs per sport. That mark contains an underwhelming 98 wRC+ towards right-handed pitchers alongside a league-worst 28.8% strikeout charge.
Nick Pivetta vs. St. Louis Cardinals ($8K DK, $9.2K FD)
For a bit extra of a reduction, Nick Pivetta is one other high-upside pitching choice. Harm has restricted his motion to date this season, however by way of 4 begins, he owns a worthwhile 3.48 ERA. The superior metrics point out that Pivetta could also be due for some regression, as evidenced by his 4.21 xERA. Nonetheless, the 2024 pattern dimension is small, and the 31-year-old is coming off a breakout marketing campaign. Throughout 142 2/3 innings pitched final season, Pivetta produced a 3.98 xERA and three.55 xFIP. The headliner was his staggering 31.2% strikeout charge, which has dropped to a still-fantastic 27.5% strikeout charge to date in 2024.
Nick Pivetta, Bowel-Locking 80mph Curveball. pic.twitter.com/CgN3OAfv0P
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 14, 2024
The St. Louis Cardinals offense is beginning to present indicators of life after a sluggish begin to the yr, however they’re nonetheless a bottom-five scoring group within the majors, plating fewer than 3.8 runs per sport. They’ve fared higher towards right-handed pitchers, although that solely quantities to a middling 102 wRC+ and a .135 ISO. The Cardinals are additionally placing out at an above-average 23.9% charge, opening the door for Pivetta to method double-digit strikeouts.
Additionally Think about: Aaron Nola, Carlos Rodon, Jose Soriano
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DraftKings, FanDuel Infielders – MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Salvador Perez – C, KC vs. JP Sears ($5.4K DK, $3.4K FD)
Salvador Perez is tearing the duvet off the ball this season, producing a .333/.400/.549 slash line with eight house runs. His torrid begin to the season features a .610 xSLG, 16.8% barrel charge, and a 51.9% hard-hit charge. Perez is notoriously brutal on left-handed pitching, slugging .541 towards southpaws in 2024, a part of a .479 profession mark.
JP Sears is having an honest yr however with a 4.44 xERA and 4.71 xFIP, there’s loads of alternative to assault right here. Opposing hitters are producing a .467 xSLG, 41.6% hard-hit charge, 9.1% barrel charge, and a 90.7 MPH common exit velocity.
Willy Adames – SS, MIL vs. Spencer Arrighetti ($5K DK, $3.6K FD)
Willy Adames’ .244/.323/.426 triple slash line would not soar out at you, however he is squaring up the ball higher than the floor stats inform us. Adames has generated a formidable .469 xSLG, 10.4% barrel charge, and a 73.7 MPH bat pace, leading to seven house runs. Curiously, Adames has at all times been a reverse splits hitter, slugging .446 towards right-handed pitchers this season, a part of a .453 profession mark.
Spencer Arrighetti has struggled throughout his first big-league publicity. Over six begins and 26 1/3 innings pitched, he owns a 7.52 ERA. The underlying numbers are extra forgiving, however they nonetheless aren’t fairly, amounting to a 5.24 xERA. Opposing hitters have generated a .279 xBA and a .457 xSLG towards Arrighetti to date this season.
Abraham Toro – 2B/3B, OAK vs. Brady Singer ($3.8K DK, $2.8K FD)
Abraham Toro has thrived within the Oakland Athletics’ leadoff position. He sports activities a .298/.351/.447 slash line with 4 house runs and a 133 wRC+. Toro has by no means been a very efficient major-league hitter earlier than this season, however the 27-year-old could also be turning a nook. His success would seemingly be supported by his 41.7% sweet-spot charge, .268 xBA, and a .430 xSLG.
Brady Singer’s 2.84 ERA would give the looks of a dominant starter, however he is due for regression. The 27-year-old sports activities a much-less-impressive 4.41 xERA by way of 9 outings. Singer is getting hit arduous by opposing batters to the tune of a .445 xSLG, 8.7% barrel charge, 89.9 MPH common exit velocity, and a 40.6% hard-hit charge. Regardless of the higher outcomes, Singer has not pitched remarkably higher than he did in 2023, when he posted a 5.52 ERA.
DraftKings, FanDuel Outfielders – MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Aaron Decide – OF, NYY vs. Chris Flexen ($6.2K DK, $4.5K FD)
No matter contributed to Aaron Decide’s early season droop is firmly within the rearview mirror now. He has homered six instances previously 12 video games performed. Total, Decide is as much as a .973 OPS with 12 house runs. The success contains predictably elite underlying metrics, like a .707 xSLG, 26.3% barrel charge, 61% hard-hit charge, and a 96.9 MPH common exit velocity.
Chris Flexen goes to be one of many most well-liked pitchers to focus on on this slate. Throughout 9 appearances, he sports activities a 4.29 xERA and a 4.56 xFIP. It is an enchancment over his 6.86 ERA from a season in the past, however the pattern dimension is simply too small to meaningfully reverse his fame. In particular, right-handed hitters have at all times had Flexen’s quantity, slugging .625 towards him in 2023, a part of a .502 profession mark.
Giancarlo Stanton – OF, NYY vs. Chris Flexen ($4.5K DK, $3.5K FD)
Talking of right-handed hitters that ought to take Chris Flexen deep at the moment, Giancarlo Stanton is on a heater proper now. He has hit safely in 11 of his final 12 video games, launching 5 house runs in that span. Total, Stanton is as much as a .838 OPS with 11 house runs and a 127 wRC+. That success features a .52.6% hard-hit charge, 17.9% barrel charge, .473 xSLG, and a 93 MPH common exit velocity.
Jo Adell – OF, LAA vs. Michael Lorenzen ($3.4K DK, $3K FD)
In a shocking growth, Jo Adell’s value has began to drop once more, making him a hard-to-pass-up worth play. Adell is as much as a .847 OPS with eight house runs and eight stolen bases. The on-field manufacturing is supported by his spectacular batted-ball metrics, which embrace a .564 xSLG, 14.1% barrel charge, 46.2% hard-hit charge, and a .299 xBA.
Jo Adell go-ahead blast! pic.twitter.com/4y9iX4wjFP
— MLB (@MLB) May 19, 2024
Michael Lorenzen actually is not probably the most susceptible pitcher on this slate, however he’s worse than his 3.75 ERA tells us. He carries a 4.75 xERA and 4.58 xFIP by way of his first six begins. Lorenzen has generated reverse-split outcomes in recent times, surrendering a .614 slugging proportion to right-handed hitters this season, up from a .418 mark in 2023.
DraftKings, FanDuel MLB DFS Stacks
1. New York Yankees vs. Chris Flexen
2. Milwaukee Brewers vs. Spencer Arrighetti
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